Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000171 0.000188 0.000207 0.000229 0.000253 0.000280 0.000310
2025-10-19 0.000135 0.000160 0.000189 0.000225 0.000270 0.000323 0.000391
2025-10-26 0.000115 0.000144 0.000179 0.000227 0.000288 0.000367 0.000476
2025-11-02 0.000100 0.000130 0.000169 0.000224 0.000299 0.000401 0.000550
2025-11-09 0.000090 0.000121 0.000162 0.000223 0.000312 0.000436 0.000631
2025-11-16 0.000080 0.000111 0.000154 0.000220 0.000318 0.000464 0.000701
2025-11-23 0.000072 0.000102 0.000146 0.000214 0.000320 0.000484 0.000763
2025-11-30 0.000067 0.000098 0.000144 0.000217 0.000336 0.000526 0.000865
2025-12-07 0.000064 0.000095 0.000143 0.000222 0.000354 0.000573 0.000981
2025-12-14 0.000059 0.000089 0.000137 0.000217 0.000356 0.000594 0.001054
2025-12-21 0.000053 0.000082 0.000129 0.000209 0.000351 0.000602 0.001102
2025-12-28 0.000051 0.000080 0.000127 0.000211 0.000364 0.000643 0.001222
2026-01-04 0.000048 0.000077 0.000126 0.000214 0.000380 0.000692 0.001366
2026-01-11 0.000045 0.000073 0.000122 0.000212 0.000386 0.000726 0.001488
2026-01-18 0.000043 0.000071 0.000120 0.000214 0.000400 0.000776 0.001653
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000067 0.000116 0.000211 0.000405 0.000808 0.001783
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000065 0.000113 0.000211 0.000414 0.000849 0.001944
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000062 0.000109 0.000208 0.000417 0.000877 0.002076
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000058 0.000105 0.000202 0.000415 0.000894 0.002183
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000057 0.000104 0.000205 0.000431 0.000956 0.002422
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000056 0.000104 0.000209 0.000450 0.001027 0.002700
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000053 0.000101 0.000205 0.000450 0.001050 0.002847
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000050 0.000095 0.000197 0.000440 0.001048 0.002918